Conquense x Real Sociedad Betting tips for December 5 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 5/12/2024 20:00 |
 Conquense12.00 |
X 6.00 |
Real Sociedad  1.20 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Conquense x Real Sociedad:
🔮 Real Sociedad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad, you can win up to $600.00!
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Important information for your tip for Conquense x Real Sociedad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Conquense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0. |
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Analysis from Conquense x Real Sociedad for the Spain Copa del Rey – 5 of December
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🏟️ Conquense X Real Sociedad – Spain Copa del Rey |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Conquense x Real Sociedad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232622 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Conquense x Real Sociedad
Is it a good idea to bet on Conquense?
🔵 Conquense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 12.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
- And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $50.00;
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$940.00.
Should you bet on Real Sociedad?
🔴 Real Sociedad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 98.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $198.00;
- And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$188.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Conquense x Real Sociedad
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Conquense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Conquense x Real Sociedad
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.0 Conquense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.75 Conquense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Real Sociedad.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Conquense x Real Sociedad
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
