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Home » Predictions » Others » Lazio x Napoli Betting tips for December 5 in Coppa Italia
Thursday, 05 December 2024, 20h00 Coppa Italia
Lazio Lazio
PREDICTION Lazio wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Napoli Napoli
ODD: @2.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Lazio x Napoli Betting tips for December 5 in Coppa Italia

Our betting tip for Lazio x Napoli, Thursday, 5/12/2024
📅 5/12/2024
20:00
Lazio Lazio
2.48
X
3.20
Napoli Napoli
2.74

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lazio x Napoli:

🔮 Lazio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lazio, you can win up to $1240.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Lazio x Napoli:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lazio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $223.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $127.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Napoli scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Napoli matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Napoli has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Napoli?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lazio x Napoli, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lazio x Napoli for the Coppa Italia – 5 of December

🏟️ Lazio X Napoli – Coppa Italia
📅 5 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Lazio – Winning probability: 44.82% | Fair line: 2.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.78% | Fair line: 3.47
🔴 Napoli – Winning probability: 26.39% | Fair line: 3.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lazio x Napoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232622 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Napoli

Is it worth betting on Lazio?

🔵 Lazio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$72.00.

Is it worth betting on Napoli?

🔴 Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $452.40
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$287.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Napoli

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Napoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Lazio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Lazio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Napoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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