Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for December 5 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto, Thursday, 5/12/2024

📅 5/12/2024 23:30

Atletico Nacional Medellin 1.57

X 3.50

Deportivo Pasto 5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto:

🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pasto scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Pasto, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Deportivo Pasto matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Deportivo Pasto conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Pasto playing at home.

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Primera A – 5 of December

When the best bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232622 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

Is betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin worth it?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 780 times – profiting $444.60;
• And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$224.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $375.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Pasto worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Pasto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $315.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$615.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Deportivo Pasto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.