Al Orubah x Al Riyadh Betting tips for December 6 in Saudi Arabia Pro League
π
6/12/2024 14:55 |
Al Orubah 2.40 |
X 3.18 |
Al Riyadh 2.80 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Al Orubah x Al Riyadh:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Al Orubah x Al Riyadh
Some important points for the tip for Al Orubah x Al Riyadh: π If you had bet $100 on Al Orubah in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $188.0. |
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Analysis from Al Orubah x Al Riyadh for the Saudi Arabia Pro League – 6 of December
ποΈ Al Orubah X Al Riyadh – Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Al Orubah x Al Riyadh right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233006 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Al Orubah x Al Riyadh
Is betting on Al Orubah worth it?
π΅ Al Orubah: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $434.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$256.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $632.20;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$77.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Al Riyadh?
π΄ Al Riyadh: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
- And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$120.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Al Orubah x Al Riyadh
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Al Orubah
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Al Orubah x Al Riyadh
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Al Orubah and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Al Orubah. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Al Orubah x Al Riyadh
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.