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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin Betting tips for December 6 in Germany Bundesliga I
Friday, 06 December 2024, 19h30 Germany Bundesliga I
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
PREDICTION VfB Stuttgart wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin Betting tips for December 6 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin, Friday, 6/12/2024
📅 6/12/2024
19:30
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1.61
X
4.00
Union Berlin Union Berlin
5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin:

🔮 VfB Stuttgart wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on VfB Stuttgart, you can win up to $805.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-128.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 Union Berlin did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin, with VfB Stuttgart as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Union Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Union Berlin as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin for the Germany Bundesliga I – 6 of December

🏟️ VfB Stuttgart X Union Berlin – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 6 of December, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 60.88% | Fair line: 1.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.87% | Fair line: 5.3
🔴 Union Berlin – Winning probability: 20.25% | Fair line: 4.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233006 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin

Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?

🔵 VfB Stuttgart: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $372.10;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$17.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is it worth betting on Union Berlin?

🔴 Union Berlin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $800.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$0.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 VfB Stuttgart
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 VfB Stuttgart, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 VfB Stuttgart.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for VfB Stuttgart x Union Berlin

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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