Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield Betting tips for December 7 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 7/12/2024 22:00 |
 Union Santa Fe3.10 |
X 3.09 |
Velez Sarsfield  2.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield:
🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $1200.00!
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Important information for your tip for Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. |
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Analysis from Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 7 of December
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🏟️ Union Santa Fe X Velez Sarsfield – Argentina Liga Profesional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233619 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield
Is it a good idea to bet on Union Santa Fe?
🔵 Union Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $378.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$442.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $627.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$73.00.
Is betting on Velez Sarsfield worth it?
🔴 Velez Sarsfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $728.00;
- And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$248.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Union Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Union Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Union Santa Fe.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Union Santa Fe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Santa Fe x Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
