Monterrey x Atletico San Luis Betting tips for December 8 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis, Sunday, 8/12/2024

📅 8/12/2024 02:00

Monterrey 1.58

X 4.05

Atletico San Luis 4.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis

Some important points for the tip for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Atletico San Luis, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico San Luis matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Atletico San Luis. 👉 Monterrey is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Atletico San Luis has not lost any of them. 👉 Monterrey has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Atletico San Luis playing at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Monterrey x Atletico San Luis?

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Analysis from Monterrey x Atletico San Luis for the Mexico Liga MX – 8 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233619 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis

Should you bet on Monterrey?

🔵 Monterrey: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $365.40
• And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$4.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $518.50;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$311.50.

Is it worth betting on Atletico San Luis?

🔴 Atletico San Luis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $760.00
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Monterrey x Atletico San Luis

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Monterrey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Monterrey, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Monterrey.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Atletico San Luis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monterrey x Atletico San Luis

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.