Bragantino x Criciuma Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Bragantino x Criciuma, Sunday, 8/12/2024

📅 8/12/2024 19:00

Bragantino 1.36

X 4.95

Criciuma 8.07

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bragantino x Criciuma:

🔮 Bragantino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bragantino, you can win up to $680.00!

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Important information for your tip for Bragantino x Criciuma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Criciuma, Bragantino scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Bragantino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bragantino x Criciuma, with Bragantino as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Bragantino has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Criciuma playing at home.

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Analysis from Bragantino x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bragantino x Criciuma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bragantino x Criciuma

Is it worth betting on Bragantino?

🔵 Bragantino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $291.60;
• And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$101.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $355.50;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$554.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Criciuma?

🔴 Criciuma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $707.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bragantino x Criciuma

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bragantino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bragantino x Criciuma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Bragantino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Bragantino. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bragantino x Criciuma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.