Gremio x Corinthians Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Gremio x Corinthians, Sunday, 8/12/2024

📅 8/12/2024 19:00

Gremio 2.62

X 3.30

Corinthians 2.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gremio x Corinthians:

🔮 Gremio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio, you can win up to $1310.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gremio x Corinthians: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $97.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $215.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gremio scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Gremio x Corinthians, with Gremio as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 Gremio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Corinthians matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Corinthians conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Gremio x Corinthians?

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Analysis from Gremio x Corinthians for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gremio x Corinthians right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gremio x Corinthians

Is it a good idea to bet on Gremio?

🔵 Gremio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $858.60;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$388.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it worth betting on Corinthians?

🔴 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$324.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio x Corinthians

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Gremio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gremio x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Gremio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Gremio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.