Botafogo x Sao Paulo Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 8/12/2024 19:00 |
 Botafogo1.33 |
X 4.33 |
Sao Paulo  8.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Botafogo x Sao Paulo:
🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $665.00!
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Important information for your tip for Botafogo x Sao Paulo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-229.0. |
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Analysis from Botafogo x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of December
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🏟️ Botafogo X Sao Paulo – Brazil Serie A |
When the best bet on Botafogo x Sao Paulo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo x Sao Paulo
Should you bet on Botafogo?
🔵 Botafogo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 92.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 920 times – this would give you a profit of $303.60
- And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$223.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $199.80;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.20.
Is it worth betting on Sao Paulo?
🔴 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 20 times – profiting $150.00;
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Sao Paulo
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Sao Paulo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Botafogo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Botafogo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Botafogo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Sao Paulo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
