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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Fortaleza x Internacional Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 19h00 Brazil Serie A
Fortaleza Fortaleza
PREDICTION Fortaleza wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Internacional Internacional
ODD: @2.86 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza x Internacional Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Internacional, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
19:00
Fortaleza Fortaleza
2.86
X
3.20
Internacional Internacional
2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza x Internacional:

🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $1430.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fortaleza x Internacional:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Internacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Internacional scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Internacional, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fortaleza has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Internacional playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Fortaleza x Internacional for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of December

🏟️ Fortaleza X Internacional – Brazil Serie A
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Fortaleza – Winning probability: 58.87% | Fair line: 1.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.20% | Fair line: 4.95
🔴 Internacional – Winning probability: 20.93% | Fair line: 4.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortaleza x Internacional right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza x Internacional

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortaleza?

🔵 Fortaleza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $1097.40;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$687.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $440.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.

Should you bet on Internacional?

🔴 Internacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $325.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$464.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Internacional

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Internacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Fortaleza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Fortaleza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Fortaleza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Internacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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