Palmeiras x Fluminense Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Palmeiras x Fluminense, Sunday, 8/12/2024

📅 8/12/2024 19:00

Palmeiras 1.42

X 4.50

Fluminense 7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Palmeiras x Fluminense:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $710.00!

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The main points for the tip for Palmeiras x Fluminense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-78.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fluminense, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Palmeiras x Fluminense, with Palmeiras as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fluminense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Palmeiras has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fluminense playing at home.

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Analysis from Palmeiras x Fluminense for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of December

When the best bet on Palmeiras x Fluminense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Fluminense

Is betting on Palmeiras worth it?

🔵 Palmeiras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $352.80;
• And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$192.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $350.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is betting on Fluminense worth it?

🔴 Fluminense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $360.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Palmeiras x Fluminense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Palmeiras
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Palmeiras x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Palmeiras, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Palmeiras.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Fluminense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Palmeiras x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.