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Home » Predictions » Others » Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas Betting tips for December 8 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 21h30 Colombia Primera A
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
PREDICTION Deportes Tolima wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Once Caldas Once Caldas
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas Betting tips for December 8 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
21:30
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
1.70
X
3.30
Once Caldas Once Caldas
5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas:

🔮 Deportes Tolima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Tolima, you can win up to $850.00!

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Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Once Caldas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 Deportes Tolima did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Once Caldas, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Deportes Tolima matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Once Caldas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Deportes Tolima conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Once Caldas.
👉 Deportes Tolima is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Deportes Tolima has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Once Caldas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas for the Colombia Primera A – 8 of December

🏟️ Deportes Tolima X Once Caldas – Colombia Primera A
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Deportes Tolima – Winning probability: 75.12% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.57% | Fair line: 6.04
🔴 Once Caldas – Winning probability: 8.31% | Fair line: 12.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportes Tolima and Once Caldas.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1234007 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas

Is betting on Deportes Tolima worth it?

🔵 Deportes Tolima: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$275.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $391.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$439.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Once Caldas?

🔴 Once Caldas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $320.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$600.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Deportes Tolima, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Deportes Tolima.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Deportes Tolima.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Once Caldas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 2.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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