Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for December 9 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 9/12/2024 00:00 |
 Independiente Santa Fe2.47 |
X 2.90 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin  2.75 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin:
🔮 Independiente Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe, you can win up to $1235.00!
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Important information for your tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-137.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of December
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🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Atletico Nacional Medellin – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1234007 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Should you bet on Independiente Santa Fe?
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $602.70;
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$12.70.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $722.00
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$102.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?
🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $367.50
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$422.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Independiente Santa Fe.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
