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Home » Predictions » Others » Leeds x Middlesbrough Betting tips for December 10 in England Championship
Tuesday, 10 December 2024, 20h00 England Championship
Leeds Leeds
PREDICTION Leeds wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
ODD: @1.79 Don't miss this prediction!

Leeds x Middlesbrough Betting tips for December 10 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Leeds x Middlesbrough, Tuesday, 10/12/2024
📅 10/12/2024
20:00
Leeds Leeds
1.79
X
3.73
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
4.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leeds x Middlesbrough:

🔮 Leeds wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leeds, you can win up to $895.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Leeds x Middlesbrough:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $148.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Middlesbrough in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-147.0.
👉 Leeds did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Leeds scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Middlesbrough scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Leeds x Middlesbrough, with Leeds as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Middlesbrough conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Leeds is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 63.00% of possession.
👉 Leeds is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Middlesbrough has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Leeds x Middlesbrough for the England Championship – 10 of December

🏟️ Leeds X Middlesbrough – England Championship
📅 10 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Leeds – Winning probability: 58.44% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.02% | Fair line: 5.88
🔴 Middlesbrough – Winning probability: 24.55% | Fair line: 4.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leeds
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leeds x Middlesbrough is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1234867 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leeds x Middlesbrough

Is betting on Leeds worth it?

🔵 Leeds: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $458.20;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$38.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $464.10;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$365.90.

Is it worth betting on Middlesbrough?

🔴 Middlesbrough: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $825.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$75.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leeds x Middlesbrough

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leeds
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leeds x Middlesbrough

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Leeds, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Leeds.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Middlesbrough.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leeds x Middlesbrough

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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