Arsenal x Monaco Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Arsenal x Monaco, Wednesday, 11/12/2024

📅 11/12/2024 20:00

Arsenal 1.31

X 5.25

Monaco 9.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Arsenal x Monaco:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $655.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Arsenal x Monaco: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $215.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Monaco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Arsenal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Monaco.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Arsenal x Monaco?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Arsenal x Monaco, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Arsenal x Monaco for the UEFA Champions League – 11 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Arsenal x Monaco right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235636 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal x Monaco

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔵 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 910 times – profiting $282.10;
• And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$192.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $170.00
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$790.00.

Is it worth betting on Monaco?

🔴 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $400.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal x Monaco

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Arsenal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal x Monaco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Arsenal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Arsenal. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal x Monaco

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.