Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 11/12/2024 20:00 |
 Borussia Dortmund3.05 |
X 3.80 |
Barcelona  2.15 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona:
🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $1075.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $125.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona:
Analysis from Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona for the UEFA Champions League – 11 of December
|
🏟️ Borussia Dortmund X Barcelona – UEFA Champions League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Borussia Dortmund and Barcelona.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235636 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona
Is it worth betting on Borussia Dortmund?
🔵 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $430.50
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.
Is betting on Barcelona worth it?
🔴 Barcelona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $701.50;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$311.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Borussia Dortmund, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Borussia Dortmund.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Borussia Dortmund.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Borussia Dortmund x Barcelona
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
