Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba Betting tips for December 12 in Argentina Cup

Our betting tip for Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba, Thursday, 12/12/2024

📅 12/12/2024 00:10

Velez Sarsfield 1.69

X 3.38

Central Cordoba 4.78

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $845.00!

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Important information for your tip for Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-28.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Central Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $260.0. 👉 Velez Sarsfield did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Central Cordoba, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Velez Sarsfield matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba, with Velez Sarsfield as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba for the Argentina Cup – 12 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Velez Sarsfield and Central Cordoba.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1235879 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba

Is it worth betting on Velez Sarsfield?

🔵 Velez Sarsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $393.30;
• And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$36.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $499.80
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$290.20.

Should you bet on Central Cordoba?

🔴 Central Cordoba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $793.80;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$3.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Velez Sarsfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Velez Sarsfield.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Central Cordoba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Central Cordoba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.