Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas Betting tips for December 12 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas, Thursday, 12/12/2024

📅 12/12/2024 20:00

Bodo/Glimt 1.89

X 3.70

Besiktas 3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas:

🔮 Bodo/Glimt wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bodo/Glimt, you can win up to $945.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bodo/Glimt in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-269.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Besiktas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bodo/Glimt scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Bodo/Glimt matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bodo/Glimt conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Analysis from Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas for the UEFA Europa League – 12 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235940 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

Should you bet on Bodo/Glimt?

🔵 Bodo/Glimt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $578.50
• And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$228.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$223.00.

Should you bet on Besiktas?

🔴 Besiktas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $350.00
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$510.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Bodo/Glimt
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Bodo/Glimt, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bodo/Glimt.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Bodo/Glimt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bodo/Glimt x Besiktas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.