Club America x Monterrey Betting tips for December 13 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Club America x Monterrey, Friday, 13/12/2024

📅 13/12/2024 02:00

Club America 1.95

X 3.40

Monterrey 3.71

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Club America x Monterrey:

🔮 Club America wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club America, you can win up to $975.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Club America x Monterrey: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $199.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monterrey in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Monterrey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Monterrey matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Monterrey conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Club America conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Monterrey.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Club America x Monterrey?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Club America x Monterrey for the Mexico Liga MX – 13 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club America x Monterrey right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235940 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club America x Monterrey

Is it worth betting on Club America?

🔵 Club America: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $541.50;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$111.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is it worth betting on Monterrey?

🔴 Monterrey: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.71. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $460.70;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$369.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Club America x Monterrey

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Club America
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club America x Monterrey

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Club America and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Club America.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Monterrey.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club America x Monterrey

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.