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Home » Predictions » Others » Valladolid x Valencia Betting tips for December 13 in Spain La Liga
Friday, 13 December 2024, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Valladolid Valladolid
PREDICTION Valencia Wins Probability 48% 1 X 2
Valencia Valencia
ODD: @2.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Valladolid x Valencia Betting tips for December 13 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Valladolid x Valencia, Friday, 13/12/2024
📅 13/12/2024
20:00
Valladolid Valladolid
3.10
X
3.00
Valencia Valencia
2.46

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Valladolid x Valencia:

🔮 Valencia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valencia, you can win up to $1230.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Valladolid x Valencia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-276.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Valladolid x Valencia, with Valladolid as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Valladolid x Valencia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Valladolid x Valencia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Valladolid x Valencia for the Spain La Liga – 13 of December

🏟️ Valladolid X Valencia – Spain La Liga
📅 13 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Valladolid – Winning probability: 21.10% | Fair line: 4.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.58% | Fair line: 3.27
🔴 Valencia – Winning probability: 48.31% | Fair line: 2.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Valladolid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Valladolid x Valencia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235940 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valladolid x Valencia

Is it worth betting on Valladolid?

🔵 Valladolid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $441.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$349.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Should you bet on Valencia?

🔴 Valencia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $700.80;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$180.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Valladolid x Valencia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Valladolid
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valladolid x Valencia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Valladolid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Valladolid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Valencia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valladolid x Valencia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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