Derby x Portsmouth Betting tips for December 13 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Derby x Portsmouth, Friday, 13/12/2024

📅 13/12/2024 20:00

Derby 1.89

X 3.40

Portsmouth 4.02

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Derby x Portsmouth:

🔮 Derby wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Derby, you can win up to $945.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Derby x Portsmouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Derby in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-347.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portsmouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Derby scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Derby matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Portsmouth conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Derby x Portsmouth?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Derby x Portsmouth for the England Championship – 13 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Derby and Portsmouth.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235940 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Derby x Portsmouth

Is it a good idea to bet on Derby?

🔵 Derby: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 630 times – profiting $560.70;
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Portsmouth?

🔴 Portsmouth: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $302.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$598.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Derby x Portsmouth

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Derby
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Derby x Portsmouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Derby and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Derby.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Derby.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Derby x Portsmouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.