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Home » Predictions » CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha Betting tips for December 13 in Portugal Liga 3
Friday, 13 December 2024, 20h30 Portugal Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses
PREDICTION CF Os Belenenses wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha Betting tips for December 13 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha, Friday, 13/12/2024
📅 13/12/2024
20:30
CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses
1.76
X
3.35
Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha:

🔮 CF Os Belenenses wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CF Os Belenenses, you can win up to $880.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Os Belenenses in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Covilha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
👉 In the last 4 CF Os Belenenses matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha for the Portugal Liga 3 – 13 of December

🏟️ CF Os Belenenses X Sporting Covilha – Portugal Liga 3
📅 13 of December, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 CF Os Belenenses – Winning probability: 65.98% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.55% | Fair line: 4.07
🔴 Sporting Covilha – Winning probability: 9.47% | Fair line: 10.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CF Os Belenenses
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235879 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha

Is it worth betting on CF Os Belenenses?

🔵 CF Os Belenenses: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $501.60;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$161.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $587.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$162.50.

Should you bet on Sporting Covilha?

🔴 Sporting Covilha: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CF Os Belenenses
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CF Os Belenenses, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CF Os Belenenses.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Sporting Covilha.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CF Os Belenenses x Sporting Covilha

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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