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Home » Predictions » Others » US Quevilly x Concarneau Betting tips for December 14 in France National
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 17h00 France National
US Quevilly US Quevilly
PREDICTION No tip
Concarneau Concarneau
Don't miss this prediction!

US Quevilly x Concarneau Betting tips for December 14 in France National

Our betting tip for US Quevilly x Concarneau, Saturday, 14/12/2024
📅 14/12/2024
17:00
US Quevilly US Quevilly
2.50
X
3.08
Concarneau Concarneau
2.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Quevilly x Concarneau:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for US Quevilly x Concarneau

Important information for your tip for US Quevilly x Concarneau:

👉 If you had bet $100 on US Quevilly in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Concarneau in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Concarneau scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 US Quevilly matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, US Quevilly conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Concarneau.
👉 Even as a visitor, Concarneau won the last 3 head-to-head matches US Quevilly´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from US Quevilly x Concarneau for the France National – 14 of December

🏟️ US Quevilly X Concarneau – France National
📅 14 of December, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 US Quevilly – Winning probability: 36.16% | Fair line: 2.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.32% | Fair line: 3.09
🔴 Concarneau – Winning probability: 31.51% | Fair line: 3.17
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 US Quevilly
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Quevilly x Concarneau right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235940 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Quevilly x Concarneau

Is it a good idea to bet on US Quevilly?

🔵 US Quevilly: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $665.60;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$14.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Concarneau?

🔴 Concarneau: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $518.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$161.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Quevilly x Concarneau

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 US Quevilly
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Quevilly x Concarneau

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 US Quevilly, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 US Quevilly.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Quevilly x Concarneau

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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