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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Newcastle x Leicester Betting tips for December 14 in England Premier League
Saturday, 14 December 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Newcastle Newcastle
PREDICTION Newcastle wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Leicester Leicester
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Newcastle x Leicester Betting tips for December 14 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Leicester, Saturday, 14/12/2024
📅 14/12/2024
15:00
Newcastle Newcastle
1.33
X
5.50
Leicester Leicester
8.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Newcastle x Leicester:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $665.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Newcastle x Leicester:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Leicester conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Newcastle has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Leicester playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Newcastle x Leicester for the England Premier League – 14 of December

🏟️ Newcastle X Leicester – England Premier League
📅 14 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Newcastle – Winning probability: 94.25% | Fair line: 1.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.29% | Fair line: 23.33
🔴 Leicester – Winning probability: 1.46% | Fair line: 68.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Newcastle x Leicester is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236358 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Leicester

Is it a good idea to bet on Newcastle?

🔵 Newcastle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $310.20;
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$250.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $180.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$780.00.

Is it worth betting on Leicester?

🔴 Leicester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $75.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$915.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Leicester

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Leicester

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Newcastle.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Leicester

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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