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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS Betting tips for December 15 in El Salvador Apertura
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 01h15 El Salvador Apertura
AD Isidro Metapan AD Isidro Metapan
PREDICTION No tip
CD FAS CD FAS
Don't miss this prediction!

AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS Betting tips for December 15 in El Salvador Apertura

Our betting tip for AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS, Sunday, 15/12/2024
πŸ“… 15/12/2024
01:15
AD Isidro Metapan AD Isidro Metapan
2.10
X
3.10
CD FAS CD FAS
3.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS

The main points for the tip for AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Isidro Metapan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD FAS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against CD FAS, AD Isidro Metapan scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 CD FAS matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, AD Isidro Metapan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against CD FAS.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS for the El Salvador Apertura – 15 of December

🏟️ AD Isidro Metapan X CD FAS – El Salvador Apertura
πŸ“… 15 of December, 2024 – 01:15
πŸ”΅ AD Isidro Metapan – Winning probability: 44.78% | Fair line: 2.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.37% | Fair line: 3.65
πŸ”΄ CD FAS – Winning probability: 27.85% | Fair line: 3.59
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Isidro Metapan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Isidro Metapan and CD FAS.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236700 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS

Is betting on AD Isidro Metapan worth it?

πŸ”΅ AD Isidro Metapan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$55.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$163.00.

Is it worth betting on CD FAS?

πŸ”΄ CD FAS: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $630.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$90.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AD Isidro Metapan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 AD Isidro Metapan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AD Isidro Metapan. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Isidro Metapan x CD FAS

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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