Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra Betting tips for December 17 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra, Tuesday, 17/12/2024

📅 17/12/2024 00:00

Independiente Rivadavia 2.11

X 3.00

Deportivo Riestra 3.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

Some important points for the tip for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Rivadavia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $948.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Riestra in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Deportivo Riestra, Independiente Rivadavia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independiente Rivadavia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 17 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237111 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

Is it worth betting on Independiente Rivadavia?

🔵 Independiente Rivadavia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $499.50
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$50.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $620.00
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$70.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Riestra?

🔴 Deportivo Riestra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $612.00
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$148.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Rivadavia.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Rivadavia x Deportivo Riestra

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.