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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Olimpia x Olancho FC Betting tips for December 15 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 01h30 Honduras Liga Nacional
CD Olimpia CD Olimpia
PREDICTION CD Olimpia wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Olancho FC Olancho FC
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Olimpia x Olancho FC Betting tips for December 15 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CD Olimpia x Olancho FC, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
01:30
CD Olimpia CD Olimpia
1.48
X
3.80
Olancho FC Olancho FC
5.67

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Olimpia x Olancho FC:

🔮 CD Olimpia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Olimpia, you can win up to $740.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for CD Olimpia x Olancho FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Olimpia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $209.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olancho FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CD Olimpia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 CD Olimpia is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 CD Olimpia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Olancho FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Olimpia x Olancho FC for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 15 of December

🏟️ CD Olimpia X Olancho FC – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 01:30
🔵 CD Olimpia – Winning probability: 82.55% | Fair line: 1.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.82% | Fair line: 8.46
🔴 Olancho FC – Winning probability: 5.63% | Fair line: 17.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Olimpia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Olimpia x Olancho FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236700 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Olimpia x Olancho FC

Is it worth betting on CD Olimpia?

🔵 CD Olimpia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $398.40;
  • And would lose other 170 times – having a loss of -$170.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$228.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$544.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Olancho FC?

🔴 Olancho FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $280.20
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$659.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Olimpia x Olancho FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Olimpia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Olimpia x Olancho FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CD Olimpia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 CD Olimpia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Olancho FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Olimpia x Olancho FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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