KF Erzeni x Pogradeci Betting tips for December 18 in Albania First Division
| 📅 18/12/2024 12:30 |
 KF Erzeni2.74 |
X 2.91 |
Pogradeci  2.43 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for KF Erzeni x Pogradeci:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for KF Erzeni x Pogradeci
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Some important points for the tip for KF Erzeni x Pogradeci: 👉 If you had bet $100 on KF Erzeni in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0. |
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Analysis from KF Erzeni x Pogradeci for the Albania First Division – 18 of December
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🏟️ KF Erzeni X Pogradeci – Albania First Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KF Erzeni x Pogradeci right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237111 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for KF Erzeni x Pogradeci
Should you bet on KF Erzeni?
🔵 KF Erzeni: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $400.20;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$369.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $649.40
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$10.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on Pogradeci worth it?
🔴 Pogradeci: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – profiting $614.90;
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$44.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match KF Erzeni x Pogradeci
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 KF Erzeni
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Erzeni x Pogradeci
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 KF Erzeni and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 KF Erzeni.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Erzeni x Pogradeci
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
