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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Brighton x Crystal Palace Betting tips for December 15 in England Premier League
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 14h00 England Premier League
Brighton Brighton
PREDICTION Crystal Palace Wins Probability 29% 1 X 2
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
ODD: @4.03 Don't miss this prediction!

Brighton x Crystal Palace Betting tips for December 15 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brighton x Crystal Palace, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
14:00
Brighton Brighton
1.80
X
3.80
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
4.03

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brighton x Crystal Palace:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $2015.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Brighton x Crystal Palace:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $213.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Crystal Palace, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Brighton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Crystal Palace has not lost any of them.
👉 Brighton has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Crystal Palace playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Brighton x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 15 of December

🏟️ Brighton X Crystal Palace – England Premier League
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Brighton – Winning probability: 52.57% | Fair line: 1.9
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.05% | Fair line: 5.54
🔴 Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 29.38% | Fair line: 3.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brighton x Crystal Palace right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236762 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brighton x Crystal Palace

Is betting on Brighton worth it?

🔵 Brighton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $424.00
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$46.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Crystal Palace?

🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $878.70;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$168.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Crystal Palace

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton x Crystal Palace

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Brighton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton x Crystal Palace

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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