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Home » Predictions » Others » Teruel x Real Zaragoza B Betting tips for December 15 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 16h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Teruel Teruel
PREDICTION Teruel wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Real Zaragoza B Real Zaragoza B
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Teruel x Real Zaragoza B Betting tips for December 15 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Teruel x Real Zaragoza B, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
16:00
Teruel Teruel
1.57
X
3.59
Real Zaragoza B Real Zaragoza B
4.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Teruel x Real Zaragoza B:

🔮 Teruel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Teruel, you can win up to $785.00!

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The main points for the tip for Teruel x Real Zaragoza B:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Teruel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Zaragoza B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Teruel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Real Zaragoza B, Teruel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Teruel matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Real Zaragoza B matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Teruel has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Real Zaragoza B playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Teruel x Real Zaragoza B for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 15 of December

🏟️ Teruel X Real Zaragoza B – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Teruel – Winning probability: 78.83% | Fair line: 1.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.35% | Fair line: 6.51
🔴 Real Zaragoza B – Winning probability: 5.82% | Fair line: 17.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Teruel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Teruel x Real Zaragoza B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1236762 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Teruel x Real Zaragoza B

Is betting on Teruel worth it?

🔵 Teruel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $450.30
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$240.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $388.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$461.50.

Should you bet on Real Zaragoza B?

🔴 Real Zaragoza B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $228.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$712.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Teruel x Real Zaragoza B

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Teruel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Teruel x Real Zaragoza B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Teruel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Teruel.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Real Zaragoza B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Teruel x Real Zaragoza B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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