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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Manchester City x Manchester United Betting tips for December 15 in England Premier League
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 16h30 England Premier League
Manchester City Manchester City
PREDICTION Manchester City wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Manchester United Manchester United
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester City x Manchester United Betting tips for December 15 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Manchester United, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
16:30
Manchester City Manchester City
1.53
X
4.50
Manchester United Manchester United
5.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Manchester City x Manchester United:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Manchester City x Manchester United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-146.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $37.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Manchester United, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Manchester City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Manchester City x Manchester United, with Manchester City as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Manchester City conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Manchester United.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Manchester City x Manchester United?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Manchester City x Manchester United for the England Premier League – 15 of December

🏟️ Manchester City X Manchester United – England Premier League
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Manchester City – Winning probability: 83.53% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.92% | Fair line: 14.46
🔴 Manchester United – Winning probability: 9.56% | Fair line: 10.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Manchester City x Manchester United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236762 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City x Manchester United

Should you bet on Manchester City?

🔵 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $445.20
  • And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$285.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $245.00
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$685.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester United?

🔴 Manchester United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $425.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$475.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Manchester United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Manchester City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Manchester City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Manchester City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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