NAC x AZ Betting tips for December 15 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NAC x AZ, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 19:00

NAC 3.25

X 3.40

AZ 2.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NAC x AZ:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $1050.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for NAC x AZ: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NAC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $425.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AZ scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 AZ matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, NAC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AZ. 👉 Even as a visitor, AZ won the last 3 head-to-head matches NAC´s territory

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on NAC x AZ?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on NAC x AZ, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from NAC x AZ for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 15 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NAC x AZ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236762 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NAC x AZ

Is it worth betting on NAC?

🔵 NAC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $247.50
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$642.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on AZ?

🔴 AZ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $715.00;
• And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$365.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match NAC x AZ

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 NAC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NAC x AZ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 NAC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 NAC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AZ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NAC x AZ

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.