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Home » Predictions » Others » CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells Betting tips for December 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 23h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
CA Talleres de Córdoba CA Talleres de Córdoba
PREDICTION CA Talleres de Córdoba wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Newells Newells
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells Betting tips for December 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
23:00
CA Talleres de Córdoba CA Talleres de Córdoba
1.40
X
4.58
Newells Newells
8.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells:

🔮 CA Talleres de Córdoba wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA Talleres de Córdoba, you can win up to $700.00!

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Important information for your tip for CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Talleres de Córdoba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-152.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newells in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Newells did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CA Talleres de Córdoba scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Newells matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, CA Talleres de Córdoba conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Newells.

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Summary

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Analysis from CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 15 of December

🏟️ CA Talleres de Córdoba X Newells – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 23:00
🔵 CA Talleres de Córdoba – Winning probability: 86.58% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.95% | Fair line: 9.14
🔴 Newells – Winning probability: 2.47% | Fair line: 40.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA Talleres de Córdoba
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CA Talleres de Córdoba and Newells.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237062 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells

Should you bet on CA Talleres de Córdoba?

🔵 CA Talleres de Córdoba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $348.00
  • And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$218.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $393.80
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.20.

Is betting on Newells worth it?

🔴 Newells: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $144.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$836.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA Talleres de Córdoba
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 CA Talleres de Córdoba, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 CA Talleres de Córdoba.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Talleres de Córdoba x Newells

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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