Motagua x Real Espana Betting tips for December 15 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Motagua x Real Espana, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 23:00

Motagua 1.80

X 3.30

Real Espana 3.91

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Motagua x Real Espana:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Motagua x Real Espana

The main points for the tip for Motagua x Real Espana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Espana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Motagua scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Real Espana matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Motagua matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Motagua conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Motagua conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Real Espana.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Motagua x Real Espana?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Motagua x Real Espana:

Analysis from Motagua x Real Espana for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 15 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Motagua x Real Espana right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1237062 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Motagua x Real Espana

Is it worth betting on Motagua?

🔵 Motagua: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $392.00;
• And would have lost other 510 times – with a loss of -$510.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Espana?

🔴 Real Espana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $611.10
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$178.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Motagua x Real Espana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Motagua
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Motagua x Real Espana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Motagua and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Motagua.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Real Espana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Motagua x Real Espana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.