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Home » Predictions » Others » Galatasaray x Trabzonspor Betting tips for December 16 in Türkiye Super Lig
Monday, 16 December 2024, 18h00 Türkiye Super Lig
Galatasaray Galatasaray
PREDICTION Galatasaray wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Galatasaray x Trabzonspor Betting tips for December 16 in Türkiye Super Lig

Our betting tip for Galatasaray x Trabzonspor, Monday, 16/12/2024
📅 16/12/2024
18:00
Galatasaray Galatasaray
1.30
X
6.00
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
7.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Galatasaray x Trabzonspor:

🔮 Galatasaray wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Galatasaray, you can win up to $650.00!

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Important information for your tip for Galatasaray x Trabzonspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Galatasaray in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $192.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Trabzonspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Galatasaray scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Trabzonspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Trabzonspor, Galatasaray scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Galatasaray matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Trabzonspor matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Galatasaray conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Trabzonspor conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Trabzonspor as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Galatasaray x Trabzonspor for the Türkiye Super Lig – 16 of December

🏟️ Galatasaray X Trabzonspor – Türkiye Super Lig
📅 16 of December, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Galatasaray – Winning probability: 89.60% | Fair line: 1.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.92% | Fair line: 16.89
🔴 Trabzonspor – Winning probability: 4.48% | Fair line: 22.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Galatasaray
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Galatasaray x Trabzonspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1237111 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Galatasaray x Trabzonspor

Is it worth betting on Galatasaray?

🔵 Galatasaray: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Should you bet on Trabzonspor?

🔴 Trabzonspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $260.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Galatasaray x Trabzonspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Galatasaray
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Galatasaray x Trabzonspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Galatasaray and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Galatasaray.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Trabzonspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Galatasaray x Trabzonspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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