Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos Betting tips for December 16 in Greece Super League 1

Our betting tip for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos, Monday, 16/12/2024

📅 16/12/2024 18:30

Athens Kallithea 8.25

X 4.75

Olympiakos 1.33

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos:

🔮 Olympiakos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olympiakos, you can win up to $665.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athens Kallithea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Olympiakos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $78.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Athens Kallithea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Athens Kallithea conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Olympiakos has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos for the Greece Super League 1 – 16 of December

When the best bet on Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1237111 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

Should you bet on Athens Kallithea?

🔵 Athens Kallithea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $145.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$835.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $450.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.

Is betting on Olympiakos worth it?

🔴 Olympiakos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $287.10;
• And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$157.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Athens Kallithea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Athens Kallithea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Athens Kallithea.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.