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Home » Predictions » Others » Dungannon Swifts x Linfield Betting tips for December 17 in Northern Ireland Premier
Tuesday, 17 December 2024, 19h45 Northern Ireland Premier
Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts
PREDICTION Linfield Wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Linfield Linfield
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Dungannon Swifts x Linfield Betting tips for December 17 in Northern Ireland Premier

Our betting tip for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield, Tuesday, 17/12/2024
📅 17/12/2024
19:45
Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts
4.80
X
3.74
Linfield Linfield
1.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield:

🔮 Linfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Linfield, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dungannon Swifts in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Linfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dungannon Swifts scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Dungannon Swifts x Linfield, with Dungannon Swifts as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Dungannon Swifts conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Linfield.
👉 Even as a visitor, Linfield won the last 5 head-to-head matches Dungannon Swifts´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Dungannon Swifts x Linfield for the Northern Ireland Premier – 17 of December

🏟️ Dungannon Swifts X Linfield – Northern Ireland Premier
📅 17 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Dungannon Swifts – Winning probability: 6.95% | Fair line: 14.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.21% | Fair line: 4.5
🔴 Linfield – Winning probability: 70.84% | Fair line: 1.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dungannon Swifts
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Dungannon Swifts and Linfield.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1237738 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

Is it a good idea to bet on Dungannon Swifts?

🔵 Dungannon Swifts: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $266.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$664.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $602.80;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$177.20.

Is it worth betting on Linfield?

🔴 Linfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $440.20;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$150.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dungannon Swifts
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Dungannon Swifts and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Dungannon Swifts.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Dungannon Swifts.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dungannon Swifts x Linfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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