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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Real Zaragoza x Oviedo Betting tips for December 17 in Spain Segunda
Tuesday, 17 December 2024, 20h15 Spain Segunda
Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza
PREDICTION No tip
Oviedo Oviedo
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Real Zaragoza x Oviedo Betting tips for December 17 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo, Tuesday, 17/12/2024
πŸ“… 17/12/2024
20:15
Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza
2.44
X
2.95
Oviedo Oviedo
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

The main points for the tip for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Zaragoza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Oviedo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Real Zaragoza x Oviedo, with Real Zaragoza as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Oviedo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Oviedo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Real Zaragoza has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Oviedo playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Zaragoza x Oviedo for the Spain Segunda – 17 of December

🏟️ Real Zaragoza X Oviedo – Spain Segunda
πŸ“… 17 of December, 2024 – 20:15
πŸ”΅ Real Zaragoza – Winning probability: 38.51% | Fair line: 2.6
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.85% | Fair line: 3.04
πŸ”΄ Oviedo – Winning probability: 28.64% | Fair line: 3.49
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Real Zaragoza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Real Zaragoza x Oviedo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1237111 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

Is betting on Real Zaragoza worth it?

πŸ”΅ Real Zaragoza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $561.60;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$48.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $643.50;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$26.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Oviedo?

πŸ”΄ Oviedo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$130.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Real Zaragoza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Real Zaragoza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Real Zaragoza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Oviedo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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