Brentford x Nottm Forest Betting tips for December 21 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Nottm Forest, Saturday, 21/12/2024

📅 21/12/2024 15:00

Brentford 2.10

X 3.58

Nottm Forest 3.18

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brentford x Nottm Forest:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Brentford x Nottm Forest

The main points for the tip for Brentford x Nottm Forest: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $362.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $230.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Nottm Forest, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Brentford matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Nottm Forest matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Brentford conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Brentford conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Nottm Forest. 👉 Brentford is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Brentford has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Nottm Forest playing at home.

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Analysis from Brentford x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 21 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brentford x Nottm Forest right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238880 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brentford x Nottm Forest

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔵 Brentford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $495.00;
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$55.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $670.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$69.20.

Is betting on Nottm Forest worth it?

🔴 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $654.00
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$46.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Nottm Forest

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Brentford, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Brentford.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Brentford.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.