Almere City FC x Heerenveen Betting tips for December 21 in Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 21/12/2024 17:45 |
Almere City FC 3.00 |
X 3.60 |
Heerenveen 2.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Almere City FC x Heerenveen:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Almere City FC x Heerenveen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. |
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Analysis from Almere City FC x Heerenveen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 21 of December
🏟️ Almere City FC X Heerenveen – Netherlands Eredivisie |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Almere City FC and Heerenveen.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238880 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Almere City FC x Heerenveen
Is betting on Almere City FC worth it?
🔵 Almere City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$250.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $858.00
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$188.00.
Is betting on Heerenveen worth it?
🔴 Heerenveen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$76.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Almere City FC x Heerenveen
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Almere City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almere City FC x Heerenveen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Almere City FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Almere City FC. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almere City FC x Heerenveen
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.