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Home » Predictions » Others » KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk Betting tips for December 21 in Belgium First Division A
Saturday, 21 December 2024, 19h45 Belgium First Division A
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
PREDICTION KV Kortrijk Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
KV Kortrijk KV Kortrijk
ODD: @2.62 Don't miss this prediction!

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk Betting tips for December 21 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk, Saturday, 21/12/2024
📅 21/12/2024
19:45
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
2.62
X
3.25
KV Kortrijk KV Kortrijk
2.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk:

🔮 KV Kortrijk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KV Kortrijk, you can win up to $1310.00!

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The main points for the tip for KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on KV Kortrijk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 KV Kortrijk matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, KV Kortrijk conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against KV Kortrijk playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for KV Kortrijk as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk for the Belgium First Division A – 21 of December

🏟️ KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk X KV Kortrijk – Belgium First Division A
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk – Winning probability: 36.15% | Fair line: 2.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.54% | Fair line: 4.44
🔴 KV Kortrijk – Winning probability: 41.31% | Fair line: 2.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238712 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk

Is betting on KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk worth it?

🔵 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $583.20;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$56.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $517.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Is it worth betting on KV Kortrijk?

🔴 KV Kortrijk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $664.20;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$74.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk x KV Kortrijk

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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