Heracles x FC Groningen Betting tips for December 21 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heracles x FC Groningen, Saturday, 21/12/2024

📅 21/12/2024 20:00

Heracles 2.40

X 3.43

FC Groningen 2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Heracles x FC Groningen:

🔮 Heracles wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Heracles, you can win up to $1200.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Heracles x FC Groningen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-10.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Groningen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-397.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Heracles scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Groningen, Heracles scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, FC Groningen conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Heracles has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against FC Groningen. 👉 It is not a good time for FC Groningen as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Heracles x FC Groningen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Heracles and FC Groningen.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238880 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heracles x FC Groningen

Is betting on Heracles worth it?

🔵 Heracles: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $784.00
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$344.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $631.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$108.20.

Is it worth betting on FC Groningen?

🔴 FC Groningen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $315.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$505.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Heracles x FC Groningen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heracles x FC Groningen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Heracles and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Heracles.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Heracles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heracles x FC Groningen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.