Barcelona x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for December 21 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid, Saturday, 21/12/2024

📅 21/12/2024 20:00

Barcelona 1.65

X 3.97

Atletico Madrid 4.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $825.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $851.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Atletico Madrid, Barcelona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Madrid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Barcelona did not receive any yellow cards in the last 5 matches as the home team. 👉 Barcelona is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 70.00% of possession. 👉 Atletico Madrid is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 6 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Barcelona has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico Madrid playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Barcelona x Atletico Madrid?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Barcelona x Atletico Madrid, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Barcelona x Atletico Madrid for the Spain La Liga – 21 of December

When the best bet on Barcelona x Atletico Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238712 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

Should you bet on Barcelona?

🔵 Barcelona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $422.50
• And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$72.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $564.30;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$245.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $592.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$248.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Barcelona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Barcelona.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.