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Home » Predictions » Others » Xelaju x Coban Imperial Betting tips for December 22 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 01h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Xelaju Xelaju
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Coban Imperial Coban Imperial
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Xelaju x Coban Imperial Betting tips for December 22 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Xelaju x Coban Imperial, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
01:00
Xelaju Xelaju
1.67
X
3.20
Coban Imperial Coban Imperial
4.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Xelaju x Coban Imperial:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Xelaju x Coban Imperial:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $247.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Coban Imperial in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 Coban Imperial did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Xelaju scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Coban Imperial matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Xelaju x Coban Imperial, with Xelaju as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Xelaju is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Xelaju has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Coban Imperial playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Xelaju x Coban Imperial for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 22 of December

🏟️ Xelaju X Coban Imperial – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Xelaju – Winning probability: 58.68% | Fair line: 1.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.06% | Fair line: 2.94
🔴 Coban Imperial – Winning probability: 7.26% | Fair line: 13.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Xelaju and Coban Imperial.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1238850 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Xelaju x Coban Imperial

Is betting on Xelaju worth it?

🔵 Xelaju: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $395.30;
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.70.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $748.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$88.00.

Should you bet on Coban Imperial?

🔴 Coban Imperial: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $266.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$664.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Xelaju x Coban Imperial

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xelaju x Coban Imperial

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Xelaju, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Xelaju.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xelaju x Coban Imperial

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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