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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for December 22 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 13h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 26% 1 X 2
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
ODD: @4 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for December 22 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
13:30
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
1.62
X
4.00
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $2000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Utrecht in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Sittard in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-367.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Utrecht scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Fortuna Sittard scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fortuna Sittard, FC Utrecht scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Fortuna Sittard conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 22 of December

🏟️ FC Utrecht X Fortuna Sittard – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 FC Utrecht – Winning probability: 62.12% | Fair line: 1.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.11% | Fair line: 3.83
🔴 Fortuna Sittard – Winning probability: 11.77% | Fair line: 8.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Utrecht
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239281 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard

Should you bet on FC Utrecht?

🔵 FC Utrecht: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $384.40;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$4.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $780.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$40.00.

Is betting on Fortuna Sittard worth it?

🔴 Fortuna Sittard: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Utrecht
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 FC Utrecht, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 FC Utrecht.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Fortuna Sittard.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Utrecht x Fortuna Sittard

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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