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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » PSV x Feyenoord Betting tips for December 22 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 13h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
PSV PSV
PREDICTION PSV wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
ODD: @1.69 Don't miss this prediction!

PSV x Feyenoord Betting tips for December 22 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PSV x Feyenoord, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
13:30
PSV PSV
1.69
X
4.20
Feyenoord Feyenoord
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for PSV x Feyenoord:

🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $845.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for PSV x Feyenoord:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Feyenoord in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Feyenoord scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Feyenoord, PSV scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 PSV matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Feyenoord matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between PSV x Feyenoord, with PSV as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Feyenoord conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, PSV conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Feyenoord.
👉 PSV is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Feyenoord has not lost any of them.
👉 PSV has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Feyenoord playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from PSV x Feyenoord for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 22 of December

🏟️ PSV X Feyenoord – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 PSV – Winning probability: 71.84% | Fair line: 1.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.16% | Fair line: 6.19
🔴 Feyenoord – Winning probability: 12.00% | Fair line: 8.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 PSV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between PSV and Feyenoord.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1239281 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PSV x Feyenoord

Is it worth betting on PSV?

🔵 PSV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $496.80
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$216.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $512.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on Feyenoord?

🔴 Feyenoord: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $384.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PSV x Feyenoord

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 PSV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV x Feyenoord

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 PSV, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 PSV.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV x Feyenoord

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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