Fulham x Southampton Betting tips for December 22 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Fulham x Southampton, Sunday, 22/12/2024

📅 22/12/2024 14:00

Fulham 1.46

X 4.50

Southampton 6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fulham x Southampton:

🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $730.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Fulham x Southampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Southampton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fulham x Southampton?

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Analysis from Fulham x Southampton for the England Premier League – 22 of December

When the best bet on Fulham x Southampton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239281 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fulham x Southampton

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔵 Fulham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 900 times – profiting $414.00;
• And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$314.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $175.00
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$775.00.

Should you bet on Southampton?

🔴 Southampton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $250.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Southampton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Southampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Fulham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Fulham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Fulham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Southampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.