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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Bochum x Heidenheim Betting tips for December 22 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 14h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bochum Bochum
PREDICTION Bochum wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Heidenheim Heidenheim
ODD: @2.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Bochum x Heidenheim Betting tips for December 22 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bochum x Heidenheim, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
14:30
Bochum Bochum
2.40
X
3.60
Heidenheim Heidenheim
2.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bochum x Heidenheim:

🔮 Bochum wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bochum, you can win up to $1200.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bochum x Heidenheim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bochum in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-367.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Heidenheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Heidenheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Heidenheim, Bochum scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bochum matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Heidenheim matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Heidenheim conceded at least 3 goal(s).
👉 Bochum has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Heidenheim playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Heidenheim as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bochum x Heidenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 22 of December

🏟️ Bochum X Heidenheim – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 14:30
🔵 Bochum – Winning probability: 61.18% | Fair line: 1.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.62% | Fair line: 5.1
🔴 Heidenheim – Winning probability: 19.20% | Fair line: 5.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bochum
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bochum x Heidenheim right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239261 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bochum x Heidenheim

Should you bet on Bochum?

🔵 Bochum: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $854.00;
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$464.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is betting on Heidenheim worth it?

🔴 Heidenheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $323.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$487.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bochum x Heidenheim

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bochum
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bochum x Heidenheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Bochum and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bochum.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bochum.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bochum x Heidenheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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