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Home » Predictions » Bundesliga 1 » Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for December 22 in Germany Bundesliga I
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 16h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
PREDICTION Wolfsburg wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
ODD: @3.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for December 22 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
16:30
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg
3.05
X
3.73
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
2.15

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1525.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $418.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Borussia Dortmund, Wolfsburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund, with Wolfsburg as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Wolfsburg is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Wolfsburg has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Borussia Dortmund playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund for the Germany Bundesliga I – 22 of December

🏟️ Wolfsburg X Borussia Dortmund – Germany Bundesliga I
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Wolfsburg – Winning probability: 53.78% | Fair line: 1.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.81% | Fair line: 8.46
🔴 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 34.41% | Fair line: 2.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239261 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolfsburg?

🔵 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $1107.00
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$647.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $327.60;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$552.40.

Is betting on Borussia Dortmund worth it?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $391.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Wolfsburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Wolfsburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Wolfsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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